2004 Oscars®

This page covers the Academy Awards® for films released in 2004, which will be awarded on February 27, 2005. Each list is in the order I would rank them, starting with the film or performance I thought was best. The rankings and predictions were last updated on 2/26/2005.

Earlier, I attempted to predict which films and performances would be nominated. That page is here.

Any comments on this page should be addressed to Mike Weston at mike@misosoup.com.

Best Picture

  1. Finding Neverland
  2. Million Dollar Baby *
  3. The Aviator **
  4. Ray
  5. Sideways

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: Million Dollar Baby

Best Director

  1. Mike Leigh for Vera Drake
  2. Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby
  3. Martin Scorsese for The Aviator
  4. Alexander Payne for Sideways
  5. Taylor Hackford for Ray

My prediction: Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby
Actual winner: Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby

Best Actress

  1. Imelda Staunton for Vera Drake
  2. Hilary Swank for Million Dollar Baby *
  3. Annette Bening for Being Julia
  4. Kate Winslet for Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind **
  5. Catalina Sandino Moreno for Maria Full of Grace

My prediction: Hilary Swank for Million Dollar Baby
Actual winner: Hilary Swank for Million Dollar Baby

Best Actor

  1. Jamie Foxx for Ray
  2. Don Cheadle for Hotel Rwanda *, **
  3. Johnny Depp for Finding Neverland
  4. Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby
  5. Leonardo DiCaprio for The Aviator

My prediction: Jamie Foxx for Ray
Actual winner: Jamie Foxx for Ray

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Clive Owen for Closer
  2. Jamie Foxx for Collateral
  3. Morgan Freeman for Million Dollar Baby *
  4. Alan Alda for The Aviator **
  5. Thomas Haden Church for Sideways

My prediction: Morgan Freeman for Million Dollar Baby
Actual winner: Morgan Freeman for Million Dollar Baby

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Laura Linney for Kinsey
  2. Natalie Portman for Closer
  3. Sophie Okonedo for Hotel Rwanda
  4. Cate Blanchett for The Aviator
  5. Virginia Madsen for Sideways *, **

My prediction: Cate Blanchett for The Aviator
Actual winner: Cate Blanchett for The Aviator

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
  2. Vera Drake
  3. The Incredibles
  4. The Aviator
  5. Hotel Rwanda

My prediction: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Actual winner: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Finding Neverland
  2. Million Dollar Baby
  3. Sideways
  4. Before Sunset [seen informally on DVD]
  5. The Motorcycle Diaries [haven't seen]

My prediction: Sideways
Actual winner: Sideways

Best Animated Film

  1. The Incredibles
  2. Shrek 2 [seen informally on DVD]
  3. Shark Tale [haven't seen]

My prediction: The Incredibles
Actual winner: The Incredibles

The Remaining Categories

Animated short

My prediction: Birthday Boy
Actual winner: Ryan

Art direction

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: The Aviator

Cinematography

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: The Aviator

Costume design

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: The Aviator

Documentary feature

My prediction: Born Into Brothels
Actual winner: Born Into Brothels

Documentary short

My prediction: The Children of Leningradsky
Actual winner: Mighty Times: The Children's March

Editing

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: The Aviator

Foreign language film

My prediction: The Sea Inside
Actual winner: The Sea Inside

Live action short

My prediction: Little Terrorist
Actual winner: Wasp

Makeup

My prediction: The Passion of the Christ
Actual winner: Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events

Original score

My prediction: Finding Neverland
Actual winner: Finding Neverland

Original song

My prediction: Shrek 2
Actual winner: The Motorcycle Diaries

Sound editing

My prediction: Spider-Man 2
Actual winner: The Incredibles

Sound mixing

My prediction: Ray
Actual winner: Ray

Visual effects

My prediction: Spider-Man 2
Actual winner: Spider-Man 2

Results and Ballot

My prediction results: 17 out of 24 (8 out of the 9 major categories, althought the one I missed was Best Picture)
Click here for the ballot we used at our Oscar® party (Adobe Acrobat (PDF) format).

* Roger Ebert's pick (not prediction) on Ebert and Roeper and the Movies.
** Richard Roeper's pick on Ebert and Roeper and the Movies.

External filmography links and data courtesy of The Internet Movie Database.

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Copyright © 2001-2005 by Michael S. Weston. All rights reserved.