2004 Oscars®

This page covers the Academy Awards® for films released in 2004, which will be awarded on February 27, 2005. Each list is in the order I would rank them, starting with the film or performance I thought was best. The rankings and predictions were last updated on 2/26/2005.

Earlier, I attempted to predict which films and performances would be nominated. That page is here.

Any comments on this page should be addressed to Mike Weston at mike@misosoup.com.

Best Picture

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: Million Dollar Baby

Best Director

My prediction: Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby
Actual winner: Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby

Best Actress

Imelda Staunton for Vera Drake
Hilary Swank for Million Dollar Baby *
Annette Bening for Being Julia
Kate Winslet for Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind **
Catalina Sandino Moreno for Maria Full of Grace

My prediction: Hilary Swank for Million Dollar Baby
Actual winner: Hilary Swank for Million Dollar Baby

Best Actor

My prediction: Jamie Foxx for Ray
Actual winner: Jamie Foxx for Ray

Best Supporting Actor

Clive Owen for Closer
Jamie Foxx for Collateral
Morgan Freeman for Million Dollar Baby *
Alan Alda for The Aviator **
Thomas Haden Church for Sideways

My prediction: Morgan Freeman for Million Dollar Baby
Actual winner: Morgan Freeman for Million Dollar Baby

Best Supporting Actress

My prediction: Cate Blanchett for The Aviator
Actual winner: Cate Blanchett for The Aviator

Best Original Screenplay

My prediction: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Actual winner: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

Best Adapted Screenplay

My prediction: Sideways
Actual winner: Sideways

Best Animated Film

The Incredibles
Shrek 2 [seen informally on DVD]
Shark Tale [haven't seen]

My prediction: The Incredibles
Actual winner: The Incredibles

The Remaining Categories

Animated short

My prediction: Birthday Boy
Actual winner: Ryan

Art direction

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: The Aviator

Cinematography

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: The Aviator

Costume design

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: The Aviator

Documentary feature

My prediction: Born Into Brothels
Actual winner: Born Into Brothels

Documentary short

My prediction: The Children of Leningradsky
Actual winner: Mighty Times: The Children's March

Editing

My prediction: The Aviator
Actual winner: The Aviator

Foreign language film

My prediction: The Sea Inside
Actual winner: The Sea Inside

Live action short

My prediction: Little Terrorist
Actual winner: Wasp

Makeup

My prediction: The Passion of the Christ
Actual winner: Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events

Original score

My prediction: Finding Neverland
Actual winner: Finding Neverland

Original song

My prediction: Shrek 2
Actual winner: The Motorcycle Diaries

Sound editing

My prediction: Spider-Man 2
Actual winner: The Incredibles

Sound mixing

My prediction: Ray
Actual winner: Ray

Visual effects

My prediction: Spider-Man 2
Actual winner: Spider-Man 2

Results and Ballot

My prediction results: 17 out of 24 (8 out of the 9 major categories, althought the one I missed was Best Picture)
Click here for the ballot we used at our Oscar® party (Adobe Acrobat (PDF) format).

* Roger Ebert's pick (not prediction) on Ebert and Roeper and the Movies.
** Richard Roeper's pick on Ebert and Roeper and the Movies.

External filmography links and data courtesy of The Internet Movie Database.

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